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📊 The Oil Calendar
rollercoaster
104
2 hours

I’m Dr. Rollercoaster.
Let’s fly through ten
months of oil prices!

Our supplied chart
tracks monthly WTI
spot prices in
dollars per barrel.
Higher price, higher 
flight.

The causal story is
illustrative; its
Brent quotes are not
this WTI series.

And I 
provide
geopolitical
wisdom.
Not in-flight
childcare.

January: $60.04
a barrel. Low 
price, low flight—
comfortable
inventories keep
this opening
scene calm.

These heights
follow the
supplied WTI
chart. The causes
are an illustrative
storyline, not a
verified historical
account.

February:
$64.51.
A modest
climb in the
monthly
average.

In our 
scenario,
conflict threatens
Hormuz—the narrow
passage tankers
need. A late-month
shock need not
dominate the whole
month.

March: $91.38.
Now the monthly
average
really climbs!

Our scenario
squeezes tanker
passage and crude
deliveries. Buyers
pay more for scarce
supply—and the risk
of worse
disruption.

A monthly average smooths
out the wild daily peaks. My
height is not the highest
price of the month!

April: $100.32.
Higher again—
even with
hopeful headlines.

In this 
storyline, a
fragile ceasefire
offers relief. But
uncertain passage
and delayed deliveries
do not disappear
with one
announcement.

A falling price late
in a month can still
leave its average
above last month’s.

May: $102.13.
The highest
monthly point
on this chart!

Our
illustrative
talks remain
fragile. Uncertain
shipping and
dwindling buffers
keep the market
nervous.

Begasus has
reached
his cruising
complaint level.
Unfortunately
 that is
below mine.

June: $84.81.
A big drop—
but not back
to January.

In our scenario,
temporary
shipping routes
ease the squeeze.
More room to
move oil gives
prices room
to fall.

Relief is not the
same as a fully
rebuilt stockpile.

July: $80.46.
Lower for the month,
despite our storyline’s
late rebound.

Renewed
disruption
threatens both
Hormuz and Red Sea
routes in this
scenario. That can
trigger a sharp jump
on particular days.

Daily spikes and
monthly averages are
different birds.
Actually, only one
of us is a bird.

August: $83.90.
A small climb,
not a new summit.

Our scenario
adds tighter sanctions
and limited passage.
With less oil in
storage, another
disruption becomes
harder to absorb.

A thinner cushion
can keep supply
worries alive—even
when demand
looks soft.

September: $97.51.
Back toward
the high
cloud layer.

In this illustrative
account, thin
stockpiles and
uncertain deliveries
keep upward 
pressure
on prices.

Promises
of future
supply are not
barrels arriving
today.

October: $99.97 in
the supplied
chart. Still
high, but below
May’s peak.

Treat this October
figure as provisional:
the reference is
marked data
through October 20.

Our scenario
ends in
fog: uncertain
routes, thin
buffers, and no
guaranteed next
move.

Ten months, 
one flight path:
the average shows
the shape,
not every daily jolt.

Markets fly. Gravity
still applies.

One
complaint! 
You made me
say Hormuz AGAIN.
Am I the demigod of
fairness—or your
tiny shipping
correspondent?!

Whoever
assigned
this script deserves
to be—

Mmph!

Fairness has
issued 
a correction.

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